PPAP's 1Q23 review: Revenue and profit plunge on trade decline

Equity Report / August 30, 2023

Performance Highlights

FY ends Dec (KHR’bn) 1Q23 4Q22 1Q22 % QoQ % YoY
Revenue 30.76 32.88 36.30 -6.4% -15.2%
EBITDA 14.23 20.44 22.76 -30.4% -37.5%
EBIT 9.73 16.39 18.90 -40.6% -48.5%
Finance cost 0.08 0.41 -0.03 -79.7% n/a
PBT 9.81 16.80 18.87 -41.6% -48.0%
Net profit 7.96 12.52 14.39 -36.5% -44.7%
EBITDA margin 46.3% 62.2% 62.7% -15.9%pt -16.4%pt
EBIT margin 31.6% 49.8% 52.1% -18.2%pt -20.4%pt
Net margin 25.9% 38.1% 39.6% -12.2%pt -13.8%pt
 

1Q23 review: Revenue and profit plunge on trade decline

Container throughputs down 24.7% YoY in 1Q23

  • In 1Q23, the port operator faced significant challenges as total container throughputs dropped by 24.7% YoY to 77,341 TEUs. Container shipments (in tons) decreased by 15% compared to the previous quarter and 6% compared to the same period last year. Container shipments for imports and exports decreased by 4% YoY and 7% YoY, respectively, as global economic slowdown has affected demand for Cambodia’s export products, which in turn decreased demand for imports of raw materials. In the first quarter of 2023, Cambodia’s total exports and imports declined 8.1% YoY and 27.0% YoY, respectively.

  • While container cargo shipments declined 5.9% YoY to 507,019 tons in 1Q23, general cargo shipments increased 9.5% YoY to 229,285 tons, likely due to rising exports of milled rice (Cambodia Rice Federation reported an increase of milled rice export volume by 3.5% YoY in 1Q23). Meanwhile, oil & gas imports handled by PPAP declined 16.0% YoY to 219,325 tons, with the number oil vessels falling by 17.5% YoY from 160 vessels in 1Q22 to 132 vessels in 1Q23. The oil & gas imports handled by PPAP dropped despite the increase in overall Cambodia’s imports as more oil & gas were imported through Sihanoukville Autonomous Port, which saw an increase of 10.3% YoY during the same period.

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Top line falls 15.2% YoY on declining cargo traffic

  • In Q1 2023, PPAP experienced a challenging period with a decrease in total revenue to KHR30.8bn from KHR36.3bn YoY. The largest contributor to the revenue was stevedoring, generating KHR12.3bn, followed closely by LOLO services at KHR10bn. These main revenue streams saw a decline of over 20% YoY in 1Q23 as the result of the decline in cargo traffic. Meanwhile, port services, the third largest source of revenue, increased over 15.3% YoY to KHR4.7bn, due likely to the jump in the number of passenger boats thanks to the gradual reopening after COVID-19 and increasing tourist arrivals. Other sources of revenue including storage services, trucking and survey revenue all saw a drastic decline by more than 50% YoY. However, the company witnessed growth in the "Others" category, led by logistic services, which generated KHR3.2bn in income in 1Q23.

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Operating profit suffers a big hit as depreciation and personnel expenses continue to rise

  • EBITDA fell sharply by 37.5% YoY to KHR14.2bn compared to KHR22.8bn in 1Q22. Operating cost (excluding depreciation) rose 7.9% YoY to KHR17.9bn, driven mainly by 18.2% YoY increase in personnel expenses, 31.7% YoY increase in fuel and gasoline expenses, 35.2% YoY increase in repair and maintenance expenses, and 174% YoY jump in donation expenses. In addition, with depreciation expense rising 16.7% YoY to KHR4.5bn, EBIT plummeted 48.5% YoY to KHR9.7bn in 1Q23. The EBIT margin contracted 20.4%pt to 31.6% in 1Q23 from more than 50% during the same period last year.

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Quarterly net profit drops to lowest since 2Q19

  • PPAP earned KHR7.97bn in net profit in 1Q23, recording the lowest quarterly earnings since 2Q19. The last trailing twelve months (ttm, up to 1Q23) earning per shares (EPS) decreased to KHR2,026 from KHR2,706 in the full year 2022. With the closing share price of KHR 14,800 (on closing price on April 28, 2023), the P/E ratio increased to 7.3x, up from 5.3x based on 2022 EPS. As of the closing price on August 8, 2023, the stock is trading at a P/E ratio of 6.96x, much lower than its ASEAN peer median.

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Container throughputs

Container throughputs 1Q23 %QoQ %YoY 2022 %YoY
TEUs 77,341 -12.8% -24.7% 417,412 19.6%
Tonnage          
Import (tons) 235,666 -28% -4% 1,255,987 3%
Export (tons) 271,353 0% -7% 1,181,149 32%
Total (tons) 507,019 -15% -6% 2,437,136 15%
Source: The Company

Container, general, and oil cargoes

Ton 1Q23 %QoQ %YoY 2022 %YoY
Container 507,019 -15.41% -5.90% 2,437,136 15.20%
General 229,284 20.4% 9.5% 771,596 -7.7%
Oil &gas 219,325 17.8% -16.0% 817,233 -9.2%
Total 955,628 -2.1% -5.3% 4,025,965 4.5%
 

Breakdown of revenue

Source of revenue 1Q2023 % QoQ % YoY 2022 % YoY
Stevedoring 12,279 -14.0% -22.2% 65,528 18.2%
LOLO 10,003 -11.1% -20.5% 51,901 14.9%
Port services 4,697 0.3% 15.3% 17,696 22.2%
Storage 529 -10.3% -62.8% 4,077 21.5%
Others 3,252 56.6% 33.7% 9,614 41.6%
Total 30,761 -6.4% -15.2% 148,816 18.8%
 

Financial Ratios

FY end to Dec 2020 2021 2022 1Q23
Per share ratios
EPS (KHR) 1,944 2,499 2,828 2,026
BPS (KHR) 31,529 32,187 37,265 36,853
BPS* (KHR, excluding Class C) 13,396 14,053 19,131 18,719
EBITDA/Shr (KHR) 3,245 3,974 4,628 3,768
SPS (KHR) 5,333 6,054 7,195 6,927
DPS (KHR, of Class A) 333 334 334 -
Share Price 11,700 14,700 14,900 14,800
Valuation ratios
P/E (x) 6.02 5.88 5.27 7.31
P/B (x) 0.37 0.46 0.40 0.40
P/B*(x, excluding Class C) 0.87 1.05 0.78 0.79
EV/EBITDA (x) 3.91 4.31 3.68 4.75
P/S (x) 2.19 2.43 2.07 2.14
Dividend yield on end-period close (%, of Class A) 2.84 2.27 2.24 -
Dividend yield on current price (%, of Class A) 2.38 2.38 2.38 -
Dividend yield on IPO price (%, of Class A) 6.50 6.52 6.52 -
Dividend payout (%, of Class A)** 17.12 13.36 11.80 -
Dividend payout (%) 10.26 7.98 7.06 -
Profitability ratios
EBITDA margin (%) 60.86 65.64 64.32 54.40
EBIT (%) 50.70 54.75 53.65 42.87
Net margin (%) 37.26 41.21 40.00 29.25
ROE (%) 6.47 7.60 8.06 5.63
ROE* (%, excluding Class C) 15.78 16.98 16.39 11.09
ROA (%) 4.97 6.09 6.35 4.31
Efficiency ratios
Asset turnover (x) 0.13 0.15 0.16 0.15
Receivables turnover (x) 7.34 9.01 9.42 11.25
Financial strength
Total Debt/ Total Equity (%) 14.12 12.85 10.10 9.40
Net debt/equity (%) 3.15 7.13 6.20 8.41
Interest coverage (x) 12.55 14.75 17.98 12.65
Inter & ST debt cover (x) 4.36 4.79 5.66 12.65
Current ratio (x) 3.86 1.88 1.74 1.18
Quick ratio (x) 3.86 1.79 1.61 1.02
Net debt/EBITDA (x) 0.31 0.61 0.50 0.82
EPS = Earnings Per Share; BPS = Book value Per Share; SPS = Sales Per Share; DPS = Dividend Per Share; Current price is closing price on the day of the report; *Excluding capital of Class C shares that are wholly held by the government; **DPS to Class A shares divided by EPS;

August 8, 2023

Closing price KHR 14,040
IPO price KHR 5,120
 

Stock info

Industry Transport Support Services
Market cap (KHRbn) 296
Outstanding shares (mn) 20.7
Majority shareholder 0.00
Ministry of Economy & Fin (%) 80
Avg daily vol. (last 6 months, shr) 798
Free floating shares (last 6 months, %) 6.28
Price low/high (last 6 months, KHR) 14,000 ~ 15,520
EPS (KHR) (ttm) 2,026
P/E (x) (ttm) 6.96
P/B (x) (mrq) 0.38
P/B* (x) (mrq) 0.75
EV/EBITDA (x) (ttm) 4.56
D/E (%) (mrq) 12.65
Note: ttm = trailing twelve months (Apr-2022 to Mar-2023); mrq = most recent quarter (1Q23); *Excluding equity of Class C (non-voting) shares

Stock Performance

 

Trading volume & value in last 12 months

Month-Year Monthly trading Average per day
  Volume (shr) Value (KHR'mn) Volume (shr) Value (KHR'mn)
Aug-22 4,763 513 217 23
Sep-22 264,536 3,834 12,597 183
Oct-22 10,409 147 496 7
Nov-22 4,036 56 212 3
Dec-22 4,765 67 217 3
Jan-23 26,592 380 1,209 17
Feb-23 13,058 199 653 10
Mar-23 10,727 161 488 7
Apr-23 4,706 70 248 4
May-23 52,834 709 2,642 35
Jun-23 5,374 77 244 4
Jul-23 9,871 139 494 7
 

Earning strength: EPS (TTM, KHR)

 

Quarterly revenue (KHR'bn)

 

Quarterly profit margin (%)

 

Quarterly revenue & profit growth (%)

 

Annual revenue & net profit (KHR'bn)

 

Annual profit margin (%)

 

Annual revenue & profit growth (%)

 

Condensed Financial Statements

Statement of comprehensive income

FY to Dec (KHR’bn) 2019 2020 2021 2022 1Q23
Revenues 110.2 110.3 125.2 148.8 30.8
Operating costs -50.2 -53.1 -56.6 -74.4 -28.1
Other income 16.7 9.9 13.6 21.3 1.3
EBITDA 76.7 67.1 82.2 95.7 4.0
Depreciation & Amortization -12.6 -11.2 -13.6 -15.9 -4.5
EBIT 64.0 55.9 68.6 79.8 -0.5
Finance costs -5.7 -4.5 -4.6 -4.4 -1.5
PBT 58.3 51.5 63.9 75.4 -2.0
Income tax expense -11.5 -11.3 -12.2 -16.9 -1.9
Net profit of period 46.8 40.2 51.7 58.5 -3.9
Re-measurements of defined benefit liability 0.4 0.9 -0.1 1.0 -11.8
Comprehensive income 47.2 41.1 51.6 59.5 -3.9
Comprehensive income

Statement of financial position

FY to Dec (KHR'mn) 2019 2020 2021 2022 1Q23
Non-current assets 683 721 803 948 957
Properties, plants & equipment 316 359 421 475 491
Investment properties 346 343 345 347 341
Other non-current assets 21 19 37 126 125
Current assets 134 115 56 67 39
Trade receivables 28 43 18 32 26
Cash & cash equivalent 106 72 38 35 8
Total assets 818 836 859 1,015 995
Non-current liabilities 166 154 163 205 200
Long-term debts 93 84 76 68 63
Other non-current liabilities 74 71 88 137 137
Current liabilities 32 30 30 39 33
Trade & other payables 14 12 9 12 19
Other current liabilities 19 17 21 26 14
Total liabilities 199 184 193 244 233
Shareholders' equity 619 652 706 771 762
Share capital 458 458 458 458 458
Reserves 105 148 187 234 288
Development fund 0 0 0 0 0
Retained earnings 47 41 52 61 11
Other capital 9 5 9 18 6
Total liabilities & equity 818 836 899 1,015 995
 

Statement of cash flows

FY to Dec (KHR'mn) 2019 2020 2021 2022 1Q23
Operating cash flow 51.8 39.9 89.7 62.3 8.1
Net profit 46.8 40.2 51.7 58.5 9.8
Depreciation & amortization 12.6 11.2 13.6 15.9 4.5
Chg in working capital -9.2 -12.9 23.9 -8.8 7.7
Others 1.6 1.4 0.6 -3.3 -13.9
Investing cash flow -32.0 -51.7 -57.3 -46.0 -25.6
Net CAPEX -28.2 -57.6 -72.0 -31.6 -27.9
Others -3.8 6.0 14.6 -14.5 2.4
Financing cash flow -16.6 -17.2 -16.7 -18.4 -6.5
Net chg in share capital 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net chg in debt -8.4 -8.4 -8.4 -8.5 -4.5
Cash dividend -3.9 -4.1 -4.1 -4.4 0.0
Net change in cash & equivalent 3.2 -29.0 15.7 -2.1 -24.0
Beginning cash & equivalent 36.1 39.6 10.9 26.9 25.5
Ending cash & equivalent 39.9 10.9 26.7 25.1 1.3
 

 

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